Europe had basically been at peace since Napoleon was defeated at 
Waterloo in 1815. The Paris Exposition of 1900 brought many nations to 
that city in harmony.  The western world seemed so far ahead of its far 
flung colonies.  Paris also hosted the second modern Olympics at the 
same time.
Improved hygiene had led to a rapid increase in the population of 
Europe, and this in turn led to a greater feeling of nationalism.  Not 
only was Europe experiencing this sense of prosperity, but Russia was on
 the rise and the United States was rapidly becoming an economic power. 
 Both nations were expanding imperialists, Russia to the east and the 
USA into the Pacific.
Although the Paris Exposition was bright with new things, it also showed
 the military might of the nations.  Behind the scenes, alliances were 
either formed or about to be formed.  The world was on the brink of 
catastrophe.
Britain was the strongest nation at sea, and Germany was the strongest 
nation in Europe, yet without a powerful navy and much in the way of 
colonies.   The royal families of the two nations were tightly related. 
 Yet, there was lots of animosity, especially on the part of the 
Germans.  Kaiser Wilhelm set about building a navy to compete with the 
British navy.  He was totally in charge of the German Empire, whereas 
Britain was a constitutional monarchy.
The Kaiser's Chancellor, von Bulow, was prepared to stir the pot, 
causing other countries to be at each other's throats, while Germany 
slowly and quietly got stronger.  Tirpitz, the Kaiser's new Secretary of
 the Navy, convinces him that a navy with battleships bigger than 
British ones is what is needed to secure Germany's place in the world. 
 Tirpitz's assumptions about how Britain would react proved to be far 
from the mark.
The naval race between Germany and Britain widened the gulf between 
those nations and at the same time forced more amicable relations 
between Britain and France.  France was constantly going through 
political turmoil since losing the war to Prussia in 1871.   The Dreyfus
 Affair was an example of the poor shape the French army was in. 
 Lacking friends in Europe, France turned to an unlikely friend, Russia.
  It was Edward VII's visit to France in 1903 that would lead to the 
creation of the Entente Cordiale the following year.
Russia was stumbling along in the early years of the new century.  An 
incident on the Dogger Bank almost brought it to war with Britain.  In 
1904 Russia found itself at war with Japan over control of parts of 
China.  The following year, after severely defeating the Russian navy, 
Japan agreed to peace.  The huge country of Russia was in many ways 
behind the developments of the rest of Europe.  It was still mainly a 
feudal country.  Its vastness ruled by a few rich elite, while the 
majority suffered from poverty. Costly strikes and revolutions were in 
the near future.
Tsar Nicholas II was an autocratic ruler who rarely took advice, and 
when he did, his advisors were not the best of men such as Rasputin.  He
 and his family were blissfully unaware of what was really going on in 
his own country.  The war with Japan had virtually bankrupted Russia, 
yet its expenditures on the military was above that of other ministries.
   Russia found that it needed to connect with Britain, rather than 
Germany.  This led to Kaiser Wilhelm to feel surrounded.
Although Italy was part of the Triple Alliance, Germany felt that it 
could only truly turn to the Austrian-Hungarian Empire for support. 
 Austria-Hungary resented the strength that developed in German 
unification and also resented Italy.   The Germans were also concerned 
about the future of the Austrian-Hungarian Empire because it was made up
 of so many nationalities, very dissimilar to that of Germany.  The only
 way to keep the internal strife from wrecking the Dual Monarchy was to 
maintain a strong military.
The Balkans would prove to be a divisive factor between Russia and the 
Dual Monarchy.  As the Ottoman Empire began to crumble, the Slavs in the
 Balkans were guaranteed protection by the Russians, while the Dual 
Monarchy looked to the possible annexation of that area.
Many philosophers of the time argued against war, pointing out the 
economic costs as well as the cost in deaths of the best and brightest. 
 Alfred Nobel would create a peace prize just after the turn of the 
century.  Many pacifist societies would develope across the world, too. 
 Unfortunately there was not much of a pacifist movement in Germany, 
Austria-Hungary, nor Russia.  Nationalism seemed to be the natural enemy
 of pacifism in every country.
In preparation for war, the continental armies took advantage of the 
railways to move men and goods.  The Germans especially integrated their
 plans with railway timetables.   Unfortunately the armies and navies of
 the time did not communicate with each other, so war plans of one 
branch of the military were hidden from friends as well as foes.  Nor 
did the military see the reality of the new killing machines that were 
now available.  Their thoughts of a glorious war were generations in the
 past.
Germany was the most prepared for war.  The Sclieffen Plan was intended 
to eliminate France as quickly as possible using pincer movements to 
capture Paris.  It also intended to have Germany prepared for a two 
front war; eliminate France quickly while being on the defensive with 
Russia, then turning on Russia.  Unfortunately the plan, which meant 
going through neutral Belgium, didn't take into account the fact that 
Britain soul be drawn into the war on the side of the French as a 
result.  The Germans also counted on the Austrian-Hungarian army to keep
 Russia occupied fighting on the eastern front long enough for them to 
defeat France, and then bring their army to bear on the Russians.
Russia was well aware of what Germany was doing, but their own 
preparations were slow.  The Russians also had a spy in the 
Austrian-Hungarian army who kept them well informed.   Surprisingly both
 sides thought that the war would be a short one.
The first crisis leading to the war was the Moroccan issue.  Germany had
 hoped to push Britain and France apart, but in reality actually 
strengthened their relationship.  The second crisis occurred over the 
Balkan States.  At one time a part of the powerful Ottoman Empire, these
 states looked for independence, yet at the same time were viewed as up 
for grabs as the Ottoman Empire fell into decline.   Austria-Hungary and
 Russia had their eyes on the spoils.  Rumania, Bulgaria and Serbia 
would, each in its own way antagonise the Dual Monarchy.   It was Serbia
 that got under the skin of the Dual Monarchy the worst.
Austria-Hungary came to an agreement with Russia, whereby the former 
would annex Bosnia-Herzegovina, while the latter would be able to move 
naval ships freely from the Black Sea into the Mediterranean. 
Unfortunately things didn't work out well.  Bulgaria declared 
independence at the same time and Russia didn't get access to the 
straits.  The Serbs felt threatened by these actions.
By 1911, Europe was on the brink of war again as Germany once again 
tried to stick its fingers into Morocco.  Italy now decided to take 
advantage of the decline of the Ottoman Empire by grasping Libya.  The 
Balkan area was the next area in crisis.   The Ottoman Empire was unable
 to suppress the nationalistic feelings that were rising in the area. 
 Minorities turned one upon the other.
Yet, at the same time, a Balkan League was formed when Bulgaria, Serbia 
and Montenegro formed a defensive alliance.  Before long, Montenegro 
declared war on the Ottoman Empire, and were quickly joined by the other
 Balkan states.  It was a short successful war in the sense that the 
Balkan states threw out the Ottomans.  The major powers brokered a peace
 for fear of the war spreading.  They had a multitude of other reasons, 
too.
Aware that Prussia and Piedmont had created new, larger nations, Vienna 
was against Serbia attempting to do the same.  Russia, although far from
 prepared for war, did a trial mobilisation at this time, which caused 
Vienna to do the same.  Albania proved to be an issue, but finally the 
two powers backed down, fearful of the cost.  However, Montenegro seized
 a key city, which set Vienna threatening war.  Russia then was forced 
to back up its Slav brothers.  Seeing the situation they had created, 
Montenegro gave up the city, and war was once again averted.
In the middle of June 1913, Bulgaria launched a war against Serbia and 
Greece.  Rumania and the Ottoman Empire joined with Serbia and Greece, 
and before long, Bulgaria had lost the war and territory. However, 
Serbia and Albania remained at odds.   Threatened with war by 
Austria-Hungary, the Serbs backed down.
1914 brought renewed tensions.  As the year progressed, everyone felt 
that war was inevitable.  Sunday June 28, 1914 was a beautiful day 
throughout Europe; summer was underway and the leadership had commenced 
their summer holidays.  The assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand 
and his wife was the final crisis, which brought on the dark days of the
 Great War.
Author Margaret Macmillan has written an excellent book explaining the 
many facets that led up to The Great War.  For a lover of history, this 
was a very enjoyable read.
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